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Destined for war : can America and China escape Thucydides's trap? / Graham Allison.

By: Allison, Graham T [author.].Publisher: Melbourne : London : Scribe, 2017Edition: UK edition.Description: xx, 364 pages : illustrations, map.Content type: text | still image | cartographic image Media type: unmediated Carrier type: volumeISBN: 9781925322378; 9781911344513.Subject(s): War -- Forecasting | China -- Foreign relations -- United States | United States -- Foreign relations -- ChinaDDC classification: 327.51073
Contents:
"The biggest player in the history of the world" -- Athens vs. Sparta -- Five hundred years -- Britain vs. Germany -- Imagine China were just like us -- What Xi's China wants -- Clash of civilizations -- From here to war -- Twelve clues for peace -- Where do we go from here?
Summary: China and the United States are heading toward a war neither wants. The reason is Thucydides's Trap, a deadly pattern of structural stress that results when a rising power challenges a ruling one. This phenomenon is as old as history itself. About the Peloponnesian War that devastated ancient Greece, the historian Thucydides explained: 'It was the rise of Athens and the fear that this instilled in Sparta that made war inevitable.' Over the past 500 years, these conditions have occurred sixteen times. War broke out in twelve of them. Today, as an unstoppable China approaches an immovable America, and both Xi Jinping and Donald Trump promise to make their countries 'great again', the seventeenth case looks grim. Unless China is willing to scale back its ambitions or Washington can accept becoming number two in the Pacific, a trade conflict, cyberattack, or accident at sea could soon escalate into all-out war. Through uncanny historical parallels and war scenarios, Destined for War shows how close we are to the unthinkable. Yet, stressing that war is not inevitable, Allison also reveals how clashing powers have kept the peace in the past--and what painful steps the United States and China must take to avoid disaster today.
Holdings
Item type Current library Class number Copy number Status Date due Barcode
Book House of Lords Library - Palace Dewey 327.51073 ALL (Browse shelf(Opens below)) 1 Available 013162

"The biggest player in the history of the world" -- Athens vs. Sparta -- Five hundred years -- Britain vs. Germany -- Imagine China were just like us -- What Xi's China wants -- Clash of civilizations -- From here to war -- Twelve clues for peace -- Where do we go from here?

China and the United States are heading toward a war neither wants. The reason is Thucydides's Trap, a deadly pattern of structural stress that results when a rising power challenges a ruling one. This phenomenon is as old as history itself. About the Peloponnesian War that devastated ancient Greece, the historian Thucydides explained: 'It was the rise of Athens and the fear that this instilled in Sparta that made war inevitable.' Over the past 500 years, these conditions have occurred sixteen times. War broke out in twelve of them. Today, as an unstoppable China approaches an immovable America, and both Xi Jinping and Donald Trump promise to make their countries 'great again', the seventeenth case looks grim. Unless China is willing to scale back its ambitions or Washington can accept becoming number two in the Pacific, a trade conflict, cyberattack, or accident at sea could soon escalate into all-out war. Through uncanny historical parallels and war scenarios, Destined for War shows how close we are to the unthinkable. Yet, stressing that war is not inevitable, Allison also reveals how clashing powers have kept the peace in the past--and what painful steps the United States and China must take to avoid disaster today.

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